…
…
ROE = tax × interest × margin × turnover × leverage
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.76x | 0.82x | 0.86x | 0.75x | 0.73x |
| Interest burden | 0.67x | 0.67x | 0.64x | 0.68x | 0.69x |
| Operating margin | 39.7% | 41.8% | 42.5% | 44.9% | 44.2% |
| Asset turnoverdriver | 0.12x | 0.14x | 0.15x | 0.16x | 0.16x |
| Leverage (equity mult.) | 1.72x | 1.66x | 1.68x | 1.74x | 1.75x |
| = Return on Equity (consolidated) | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
Consolidated (pre-minority-interest) basis; the headline ROE in the ratio grid is owners’ basis.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio(Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 3.29x | 0.77x | 0.31x | 0.28x | 0.41x |
| Quick Ratio((Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities) | 3.29x | 0.77x | 0.31x | 0.28x | 0.41x |
| Cash Ratio(Cash / Current Liabilities) | 2.95x | 0.62x | 0.08x | 0.05x | 0.08x |
| Working Capital(Current Assets − Current Liabilities) | Rp 15 T | -Rp 2.3 T | -Rp 7.7 T | -Rp 8.8 T | -Rp 4.4 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity (DER)(Total Debt / Total Equity) | 0.59x | 0.52x | 0.54x | 0.61x | 0.64x |
| Liabilities to Equity(Total Liabilities / Total Equity) | 0.72x | 0.66x | 0.68x | 0.74x | 0.75x |
| Debt to Assets(Total Debt / Total Assets) | 0.35x | 0.31x | 0.32x | 0.35x | 0.37x |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash) | Rp 826 M | Rp 11 T | Rp 18 T | Rp 20 T | Rp 21 T |
| Interest Coverage(EBIT / Interest Expense) | 2.99x | 3.06x | 2.74x | 3.08x | 3.23x |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets ÷ Equity) | 1.72x | 1.66x | 1.68x | 1.74x | 1.75x |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin(Gross Profit / Revenue) | 82.8% | 86.3% | 87.7% | 89.8% | 89.3% |
| Operating Margin(EBIT / Revenue) | 39.7% | 41.8% | 42.5% | 44.9% | 44.2% |
| Net Margin(Net Income / Revenue) | 20.1% | 23.1% | 23.2% | 22.6% | 22.2% |
| EBITDA(EBIT + D&A) | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 4.9 T | Rp 5.5 T | Rp 6.2 T | Rp 6.3 T |
| EBITDA Margin(EBITDA / Revenue) | 62.0% | 63.4% | 63.8% | 66.6% | 66.0% |
| Return on Assets (ROA)(Net Income / Total Assets) | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Return on Equity (ROE)(Net Income (Owners) / Equity (Owners)) | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Tax Burden (Net ÷ Pretax) | 0.76x | 0.82x | 0.86x | 0.75x | 0.73x |
| Interest Burden (Pretax ÷ EBIT) | 0.67x | 0.67x | 0.64x | 0.68x | 0.69x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Turnover | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover(Revenue / Total Assets) | 0.12x | 0.14x | 0.15x | 0.16x | 0.16x |
| Inventory Turnover(COGS / Inventory)inventory is zero | — | — | — | — | — |
| Receivables Turnover(Revenue / Receivables) | 6.15x | 7.36x | 5.31x | 4.65x | 4.31x |
| Payables Turnover(COGS / Payables) | 0.93x | 0.56x | 0.51x | 0.48x | 0.74x |
| Conversion Period | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)(365 × Inventory / COGS) | 0.0 days | 0.0 days | 0.0 days | 0.0 days | 0.0 days |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)(365 × Receivables / Revenue) | 59.4 days | 49.6 days | 68.8 days | 78.6 days | 84.7 days |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)(365 × Payables / COGS) | 392.4 days | 653.5 days | 720.9 days | 758.6 days | 490.2 days |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)(DIO + DSO − DPO) | -333.0 days | -603.9 days | -652.1 days | -680.0 days | -405.5 days |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow − Capex) | -Rp 7.2 T | -Rp 4.6 T | -Rp 1.2 T | Rp 3.6 T | Rp 4.5 T |
Price Rp 462 · market cap Rp 37 T
| Multiple | MTEL | Peer median | vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 17.66x | 8.65x | +104% |
| P/B | 1.12x | 0.87x | +29% |
| P/S | 3.93x | 1.76x | +123% |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.26x | 9.19x | +1% |
| EV/EBIT | 13.83x | 12.25x | +13% |
| EV/Sales | 6.11x | 5.11x | +20% |
| FCF Yield | 12.15% | 12.97% | -6% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.55% | 4.48%(4/5) | +24% |
EV = mkt cap Rp 37 T + debt Rp 21 T − cash Rp 609 M = Rp 58 T
At today’s price, the market is paying for 8.1%/yr FCF growth (5.0% at 12.0% to 11.0% at 16.0% discount rates). Delivered over the last 4 years: FCF n/m (sign flip) · 8.5% revenue.
Reverse DCF: single-stage FCF, terminal growth 2.5%, discount band 12.0–16.0% (β=1; build cited in Methodology). Not a forecast.
This model projects the operating cash the whole business generates, discounts it back at the blended cost of capital, and subtracts net debt. What remains is the equity value, stated per share. Every input below comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and you can adjust each one yourself.
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rf (risk-free) | 7.26% | Indonesia 10Y government bond, 8 Jul 2026 |
| ERP (Rm − Rf) | 6.69% | Damodaran Indonesia, Jul 2026 (Baa2, CRP 2.46%) |
| β | 0.68 → 0.98 | Transportation (unlevered) relevered at own D/E 0.57 |
| Cost of equity | 13.80% | Rf + β × ERP |
| Cost of debt | 6.08% | FY2025 interest expense ÷ total debt |
| Tax rate | 23.9% | median effective rate, FY2021–FY2025 (pretax ≈ EBIT − interest) |
| WACC | 10.45% | 64% E × CoE + 36% D × Kd × (1 − t) |
| Revenue growth (yr 1, fading) | 8.5% | delivered 4-yr revenue CAGR 8.5%, fading linearly to terminal |
| EBIT margin | 43.8% | mean EBIT margin, last 3 FYs |
| D&A / revenue | 21.6% | mean D&A/revenue, last 3 FYs |
| Capex / revenue | 43.0% | mean capex/revenue, last 3 FYs, for the explicit years; in the terminal year capex falls to replacement level (equal to depreciation, 21.6% of revenue) because holding a build-phase or pause-phase ratio in perpetuity misprices the company in whichever direction that phase points |
| ΔNWC / Δrevenue | 59.4% | median ΔNWC/Δrevenue across the seeded years (NWC = AR + inventory − AP) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | BI inflation-target midpoint (2.5% ± 1%) |
| Year | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | +5 | T∞ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | Rp 10 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 13 T |
| EBIT | Rp 4.5 T | Rp 4.9 T | Rp 5.1 T | Rp 5.3 T | Rp 5.5 T | Rp 5.6 T |
| NOPAT | Rp 3.5 T | Rp 3.7 T | Rp 3.9 T | Rp 4.1 T | Rp 4.2 T | Rp 4.3 T |
| + D&A | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.4 T | Rp 2.5 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 2.7 T | Rp 2.8 T |
| − Capex | Rp 4.4 T | Rp 4.8 T | Rp 5.0 T | Rp 5.2 T | Rp 5.4 T | Rp 2.8 T |
| − ΔNWC | Rp 484 M | Rp 432 M | Rp 363 M | Rp 279 M | Rp 181 M | Rp 185 M |
| FCFF | Rp 763 M | Rp 902 M | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 4.1 T |
| PV | Rp 691 M | Rp 739 M | Rp 775 M | Rp 797 M | Rp 803 M | Rp 31 T |
Check it yourself: revenue × margin = EBIT · NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax) · FCFF = NOPAT + D&A − Capex − ΔNWC · PV = FCFF ÷ (1+WACC)^yr · TV = FCFF(T∞) ÷ (WACC − g), discounted from year 5
EV = PV(explicit) Rp 3.8 T + PV(TV) Rp 31 T = Rp 35 T · TV 89% of EV · − net debt Rp 21 T − minority Rp 0
Model output: Rp 174/share (-62% vs price Rp 462)· exit-multiple check (9.2x): Rp 352
Under these assumptions the model lands 62% below today's price. The market, in other words, is paying for faster growth, a fatter margin, or a lower discount rate than the inputs here assume.
| g \ WACC | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 218 | 149 | 96 |
| 2.5% | 251 | 174 | 115 |
| 3.0% | 291 | 203 | 137 |
Model output under the stated assumptions. Every input above comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and every one can be adjusted. This is not a price target and not advice.
Educational analysis. Multiples pair today’s price with the latest audited fiscal year (trailing-FY convention); peer figures are the covered peer sample, not the whole market. Never a price target.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rp 6.9 T | Rp 7.7 T | Rp 8.7 T | Rp 9.3 T | Rp 9.5 T |
| Cost of Goods Sold | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 951 M | Rp 1.0 T |
| Gross Profit | Rp 5.7 T | Rp 6.7 T | Rp 7.6 T | Rp 8.4 T | Rp 8.5 T |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | Rp 2.7 T | Rp 3.2 T | Rp 3.7 T | Rp 4.2 T | Rp 4.2 T |
| Interest Expense | Rp 913 M | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.3 T |
| Net Income | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.1 T |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.1 T |
| Depreciation & Amortization | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.7 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.1 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Rp 19 T | Rp 6.3 T | Rp 890 M | Rp 597 M | Rp 609 M |
| Accounts Receivable | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.2 T |
| Inventory | Rp 0 | Rp 0 | Rp 0 | Rp 0 | Rp 0 |
| Current Assets | Rp 21 T | Rp 7.9 T | Rp 3.5 T | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 3.1 T |
| Total Assets | Rp 58 T | Rp 56 T | Rp 57 T | Rp 58 T | Rp 58 T |
| Accounts Payable | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 1.4 T |
| Current Liabilities | Rp 6.5 T | Rp 10 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 7.5 T |
| Total Liabilities | Rp 24 T | Rp 22 T | Rp 23 T | Rp 25 T | Rp 25 T |
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | Rp 20 T | Rp 18 T | Rp 19 T | Rp 20 T | Rp 21 T |
| Total Equity | Rp 34 T | Rp 34 T | Rp 34 T | Rp 33 T | Rp 33 T |
| Equity Attributable to Owners | Rp 34 T | Rp 34 T | Rp 34 T | Rp 33 T | Rp 33 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | Rp 5.4 T | Rp 6.0 T | Rp 5.2 T | Rp 6.6 T | Rp 6.8 T |
| Capital Expenditure | Rp 13 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 6.4 T | Rp 3.0 T | Rp 2.2 T |
Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (Mitratel/MTEL), majority-owned by Telkom Indonesia (TLKM) and floated in late 2021, is Indonesia's largest tower company by both count (~40,200 towers) and market share (55%), with a growing fibre-optic network on top (~70,600 km billable). The FY21 numbers carry the heavy build-out capex of the IPO year, producing a deeply negative FCF of −Rp7.2tn; by FY25 that had swung to +Rp4.5tn as the network matured into cash-generative colocation leases, the sharpest FCF turnaround of the three listed tower companies. Its gross margin is the highest of the three and still rising (82.8%→89.3%, FY21–25), evidence of a maturing, high-tenancy portfolio (63,084 tenants, with +3,216 added in FY25 alone). But MTEL's Telkom-linked conservatism shows up in leverage: D/E of just 0.5–0.6x (against TOWR's 1.67–2.73x and TBIG's 2.4–3.0x) structurally caps ROE at 4–6%, well below its tower-sector peers despite comparable or better underlying margins, on a large asset base (~Rp58tn total assets). This is the dominant, best-margin, most conservatively financed tower company in Indonesia; its return on equity is modest by design, not because the operations are weak.
Tower construction inputs are commoditized; MTEL additionally benefits from preferential access to Telkom Group land and existing infrastructure for new site development.
Implication → Lower effective site-acquisition friction than independent tower companies.
Telkomsel (Telkom Group affiliate) is MTEL's anchor tenant: a related-party relationship that is commercially favorable but raises fair-pricing governance questions; competing operators (XL, Indosat, Smartfren) have some switching leverage to TOWR/TBIG.
Implication → The anchor-tenant relationship provides revenue stability but requires continued transparent arm's-length pricing to avoid related-party governance concerns.
Replicating a ~40,200-tower, 55%-share national network is not economically viable for a new entrant; MTEL's Telkom Group backing further raises the effective entry barrier via land/infrastructure access.
Implication → A durable market-leader position; the only real competitive dynamic is share contest among the existing 3 players.
No practical substitute for physical tower coverage at national scale; MTEL's expanding fiber network also diversifies it beyond pure tower-substitution risk into fixed broadband infrastructure.
Implication → The FY26 FWA (Fixed Wireless Access) push is itself a hedge: MTEL positioning to capture broadband substitution demand rather than be disrupted by it.
Three-player market: MTEL leads on both towers (~40,200) and share (55%), ahead of TOWR (~28,000) and TBIG (~24,200).
Implication → Scale leadership gives MTEL negotiating weight on new colocation and cost efficiencies, though all three compete for the same finite telco capex pool.
Curated narrative (educational interpretation), backed by the linked sources. The figures above are deterministic. Not investment advice.
Indonesian infrastructure is a dual-asset class: toll roads (concession monopolies, GDP-linked traffic, inflation-indexed tariffs) and telecom towers (towercos with 80 %+ EBITDA margins riding 5G densification). Both are long-duration, capital-intensive regulated assets with high revenue visibility.