…
…
ROE = tax × interest × margin × turnover × leverage
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.72x | 0.67x | 0.65x | 0.60x | 0.62x |
| Interest burden | 0.50x | 0.57x | 0.57x | 0.53x | 0.53x |
| Operating margin | 69.6% | 65.4% | 63.9% | 63.1% | 63.1% |
| Asset turnover | 0.15x | 0.15x | 0.14x | 0.15x | 0.15x |
| Leverage (equity mult.)driver | 4.28x | 3.95x | 3.77x | 4.48x | 3.63x |
| = Return on Equity (consolidated) | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
Consolidated (pre-minority-interest) basis; the headline ROE in the ratio grid is owners’ basis.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio(Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 0.36x | 0.41x | 0.29x | 0.25x | 0.19x |
| Quick Ratio((Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities) | 0.33x | 0.34x | 0.29x | 0.25x | 0.19x |
| Cash Ratio(Cash / Current Liabilities) | 0.07x | 0.11x | 0.05x | 0.06x | 0.05x |
| Working Capital(Current Assets − Current Liabilities) | -Rp 5.4 T | -Rp 5.2 T | -Rp 11 T | -Rp 18 T | -Rp 13 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity (DER)(Total Debt / Total Equity) | 3.01x | 2.71x | 2.39x | 3.03x | 2.40x |
| Liabilities to Equity(Total Liabilities / Total Equity) | 3.28x | 2.95x | 2.77x | 3.48x | 2.63x |
| Debt to Assets(Total Debt / Total Assets) | 0.70x | 0.69x | 0.64x | 0.68x | 0.66x |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash) | Rp 29 T | Rp 29 T | Rp 29 T | Rp 30 T | Rp 30 T |
| Interest Coverage(EBIT / Interest Expense) | 2.01x | 2.33x | 2.31x | 2.11x | 2.12x |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets ÷ Equity) | 4.28x | 3.95x | 3.77x | 4.48x | 3.63x |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin(Gross Profit / Revenue) | 76.2% | 72.7% | 71.4% | 71.7% | 71.8% |
| Operating Margin(EBIT / Revenue) | 69.6% | 65.4% | 63.9% | 63.1% | 63.1% |
| Net Margin(Net Income / Revenue) | 25.1% | 25.1% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
| EBITDA(EBIT + D&A) | Rp 5.0 T | Rp 5.2 T | Rp 5.3 T | Rp 5.4 T | Rp 5.4 T |
| EBITDA Margin(EBITDA / Revenue) | 81.3% | 80.1% | 79.5% | 78.7% | 78.5% |
| Return on Assets (ROA)(Net Income / Total Assets) | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| Return on Equity (ROE)(Net Income (Owners) / Equity (Owners)) | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% |
| Tax Burden (Net ÷ Pretax) | 0.72x | 0.67x | 0.65x | 0.60x | 0.62x |
| Interest Burden (Pretax ÷ EBIT) | 0.50x | 0.57x | 0.57x | 0.53x | 0.53x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| Turnover | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover(Revenue / Total Assets) | 0.15x | 0.15x | 0.14x | 0.15x | 0.15x |
| Inventory Turnover(COGS / Inventory) | 6.50x | 2.87x | — | — | — |
| Receivables Turnover(Revenue / Receivables) | 5.95x | 6.58x | 2.57x | 2.70x | 7.75x |
| Payables Turnover(COGS / Payables) | 39.34x | 6.98x | 10.40x | 17.39x | 31.32x |
| Conversion Period | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)(365 × Inventory / COGS) | 56.1 days | 127.2 days | 0.0 days | 0.0 days | 0.0 days |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)(365 × Receivables / Revenue) | 61.4 days | 55.4 days | 141.9 days | 135.4 days | 47.1 days |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)(365 × Payables / COGS) | 9.3 days | 52.3 days | 35.1 days | 21.0 days | 11.7 days |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)(DIO + DSO − DPO) | 108.2 days | 130.4 days | 106.8 days | 114.4 days | 35.5 days |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow − Capex) | -Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 3.0 T | Rp 3.3 T |
Price Rp 1,445 · market cap Rp 33 T
| Multiple | TBIG | Peer median | vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.88x | 8.65x | +165% |
| P/B | 2.71x | 0.87x | +211% |
| P/S | 4.73x | 1.76x | +168% |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.64x | 9.19x | +27% |
| EV/EBIT | 14.46x | 12.25x | +18% |
| EV/Sales | 9.13x | 5.11x | +78% |
| FCF Yield | 10.03% | 12.97% | -23% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.37% | 4.48%(4/5) | -25% |
EV = mkt cap Rp 33 T + debt Rp 31 T − cash Rp 748 M + minority interest Rp 666 M = Rp 63 T
At today’s price, the market is paying for 14.3%/yr FCF growth (10.9% at 12.0% to 17.4% at 16.0% discount rates). Delivered over the last 4 years: FCF n/m (sign flip) · 2.8% revenue.
Reverse DCF: single-stage FCF, terminal growth 2.5%, discount band 12.0–16.0% (β=1; build cited in Methodology). Not a forecast.
This model projects the operating cash the whole business generates, discounts it back at the blended cost of capital, and subtracts net debt. What remains is the equity value, stated per share. Every input below comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and you can adjust each one yourself.
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rf (risk-free) | 7.26% | Indonesia 10Y government bond, 8 Jul 2026 |
| ERP (Rm − Rf) | 6.69% | Damodaran Indonesia, Jul 2026 (Baa2, CRP 2.46%) |
| β | 0.68 → 1.09 | Transportation (unlevered) relevered at own D/E 0.93 |
| Cost of equity | 14.57% | Rf + β × ERP |
| Cost of debt | 6.74% | FY2025 interest expense ÷ total debt |
| Tax rate | 35.0% | median effective rate FY2021–FY2025 computed to 35.2%, CLAMPED to 35%: above that ceiling the pretax approximation is carrying minority interests, which are already deducted separately from enterprise value, rather than tax |
| WACC | 9.65% | 52% E × CoE + 48% D × Kd × (1 − t) |
| Revenue growth (yr 1, fading) | 2.8% | delivered 4-yr revenue CAGR 2.8%, fading linearly to terminal |
| EBIT margin | 60.0% | mean EBIT margin, last 3 FYs |
| D&A / revenue | 15.5% | mean D&A/revenue, last 3 FYs |
| Capex / revenue | 30.5% | mean capex/revenue, last 3 FYs, for the explicit years; in the terminal year capex falls to replacement level (equal to depreciation, 15.5% of revenue) because holding a build-phase or pause-phase ratio in perpetuity misprices the company in whichever direction that phase points |
| ΔNWC / Δrevenue | 37.5% | median ΔNWC/Δrevenue across the seeded years (NWC = AR + inventory − AP) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | BI inflation-target midpoint (2.5% ± 1%) |
| Year | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | +5 | T∞ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | Rp 7.1 T | Rp 7.3 T | Rp 7.5 T | Rp 7.7 T | Rp 7.9 T | Rp 8.1 T |
| EBIT | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 4.4 T | Rp 4.5 T | Rp 4.6 T | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 4.8 T |
| NOPAT | Rp 2.8 T | Rp 2.8 T | Rp 2.9 T | Rp 3.0 T | Rp 3.1 T | Rp 3.2 T |
| + D&A | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.3 T |
| − Capex | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.3 T | Rp 2.3 T | Rp 2.4 T | Rp 1.3 T |
| − ΔNWC | Rp 73 M | Rp 73 M | Rp 73 M | Rp 73 M | Rp 72 M | Rp 74 M |
| FCFF | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.7 T | Rp 1.7 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 3.1 T |
| PV | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 27 T |
Check it yourself: revenue × margin = EBIT · NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax) · FCFF = NOPAT + D&A − Capex − ΔNWC · PV = FCFF ÷ (1+WACC)^yr · TV = FCFF(T∞) ÷ (WACC − g), discounted from year 5
EV = PV(explicit) Rp 6.6 T + PV(TV) Rp 27 T = Rp 34 T · TV 81% of EV · − net debt Rp 30 T − minority Rp 666 M
Model output: Rp 146/share (-90% vs price Rp 1,445)· exit-multiple check (9.2x): Rp 472
Under these assumptions the model lands 90% below today's price. The market, in other words, is paying for faster growth, a fatter margin, or a lower discount rate than the inputs here assume.
| g \ WACC | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 288 | 54 | -126 |
| 2.5% | 415 | 146 | -55 |
| 3.0% | 565 | 253 | 24 |
Model output under the stated assumptions. Every input above comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and every one can be adjusted. This is not a price target and not advice.
Educational analysis. Multiples pair today’s price with the latest audited fiscal year (trailing-FY convention); peer figures are the covered peer sample, not the whole market. Never a price target.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rp 6.2 T | Rp 6.5 T | Rp 6.6 T | Rp 6.9 T | Rp 6.9 T |
| Cost of Goods Sold | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 1.9 T |
| Gross Profit | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 4.9 T | Rp 5.0 T |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 4.2 T | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 4.4 T |
| Interest Expense | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.1 T |
| Net Income | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T |
| Depreciation & Amortization | Rp 728 M | Rp 955 M | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.1 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Rp 629 M | Rp 966 M | Rp 801 M | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 748 M |
| Accounts Receivable | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 991 M | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 2.5 T | Rp 892 M |
| Inventory | Rp 226 M | Rp 622 M | Rp 0 | Rp 0 | Rp 0 |
| Current Assets | Rp 3.0 T | Rp 3.6 T | Rp 4.4 T | Rp 5.8 T | Rp 3.1 T |
| Total Assets | Rp 42 T | Rp 43 T | Rp 47 T | Rp 47 T | Rp 46 T |
| Accounts Payable | Rp 37 M | Rp 256 M | Rp 183 M | Rp 112 M | Rp 62 M |
| Current Liabilities | Rp 8.4 T | Rp 8.7 T | Rp 15 T | Rp 23 T | Rp 16 T |
| Total Liabilities | Rp 32 T | Rp 32 T | Rp 34 T | Rp 37 T | Rp 34 T |
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | Rp 29 T | Rp 30 T | Rp 30 T | Rp 32 T | Rp 31 T |
| Total Equity | Rp 9.8 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 13 T |
| Equity Attributable to Owners | Rp 9.3 T | Rp 10 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 9.9 T | Rp 12 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | Rp 4.5 T | Rp 4.8 T | Rp 4.4 T | Rp 5.1 T | Rp 5.2 T |
| Capital Expenditure | Rp 5.9 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 1.9 T |
Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG) is Indonesia's third-largest independent tower company, operating ~24,200 telecommunication towers plus 109 DAS (distributed antenna system) networks, and majority-owned by Bersama Digital Infrastructure, a regional platform controlled by Provident Capital and PT Saratoga Investama Sedaya. Like TOWR and MTEL, the business runs on the colocation lease model: several mobile operators (Telkomsel, XL Axiata, Indosat, Smartfren) pay long-term rent for antenna space on the same physical tower. TBIG's tenancy ratio of 1.73x (end-FY25) is notably higher than TOWR's ~1.5–1.6x, a real efficiency edge that means it extracts more revenue from each tower it builds. But margins have compressed across FY21–25 (gross margin 76.2%→71.8%, EBITDA margin 81.3%→78.5%, net margin 25.1%→20.6%), and leverage is materially higher than peers (D/E 2.4–3.0x, against TOWR's 1.67–2.73x and MTEL's 0.5–0.6x), a consequence of its private-equity-backed, acquisition-funded growth strategy versus MTEL's conservative Telkom-linked balance sheet. FCF has swung from a negative Rp1.5tn (FY21, heavy expansion capex) to a positive Rp3.3tn (FY25). This is a scaled, well-run tower franchise with the best tenancy efficiency of the three listed players, but also the most leveraged balance sheet and a margin trend worth watching.
Tower construction inputs (steel, concrete) and site leases are commoditized and available from many suppliers/landowners; TBIG also grows via acquiring existing tower portfolios, giving it an alternate supply route to organic build.
Implication → Low input-cost pressure; capital intensity is in the tower asset itself, not recurring supplier leverage.
The same 4 major telcos (Telkomsel, XL Axiata, Indosat, Smartfren) are the tenant base across all three tower companies: a concentrated buyer group with the option to place new colocation with TOWR or MTEL instead.
Implication → Long-term contracts with escalators protect in-contract cash flow, but TBIG's higher leverage means it has less room to discount on renewal negotiations than lower-geared peers.
Replicating a ~24,200-tower national footprint requires multi-trillion-rupiah capex and years of site acquisition; telcos have already largely exited tower ownership.
Implication → Effectively a stable 3-player market (TOWR, MTEL, TBIG); no economically viable new nationwide entrant.
No practical substitute for physical macro towers for wide-area mobile coverage; satellite broadband (Starlink) is a partial substitute only in remote/underserved areas.
Implication → 5G densification structurally increases tower/site demand rather than reducing it.
Three-player market: MTEL (~40,200 towers, 55% share), TOWR (~28,000), TBIG (~24,200). TBIG is the smallest of the three by tower count but leads on tenancy ratio (1.73x).
Implication → Competition for new colocation contracts and telco capex allocation constrains pricing on new/renewal business, but existing locked-in leases are insulated by long contract terms.
Curated narrative (educational interpretation), backed by the linked sources. The figures above are deterministic. Not investment advice.
Indonesian infrastructure is a dual-asset class: toll roads (concession monopolies, GDP-linked traffic, inflation-indexed tariffs) and telecom towers (towercos with 80 %+ EBITDA margins riding 5G densification). Both are long-duration, capital-intensive regulated assets with high revenue visibility.