…
…
ROE = tax × interest × margin × turnover × leverage
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.88x | 0.82x | 0.80x | 0.82x | 0.79x |
| Interest burden | 0.99x | 1.00x | 1.00x | 0.97x | 0.96x |
| Operating margin | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% |
| Asset turnoverdriver | 1.45x | 1.71x | 1.89x | 1.57x | 1.99x |
| Leverage (equity mult.) | 1.43x | 1.44x | 1.39x | 1.58x | 1.45x |
| = Return on Equity (consolidated) | 13.4% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 13.5% | 16.7% | 26.8% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
Consolidated (pre-minority-interest) basis; the headline ROE in the ratio grid is owners’ basis.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio(Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 2.93x | 2.84x | 3.08x | 2.44x | 2.63x |
| Quick Ratio((Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities) | 1.36x | 1.45x | 0.84x | 0.72x | 0.69x |
| Cash Ratio(Cash / Current Liabilities) | 0.96x | 1.08x | 0.39x | 0.41x | 0.36x |
| Working Capital(Current Assets − Current Liabilities) | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.5 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity (DER)(Total Debt / Total Equity) | 0.01x | 0.01x | 0.02x | 0.22x | 0.15x |
| Liabilities to Equity(Total Liabilities / Total Equity) | 0.43x | 0.44x | 0.39x | 0.58x | 0.45x |
| Debt to Assets(Total Debt / Total Assets) | 0.01x | 0.00x | 0.01x | 0.14x | 0.11x |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash) | -Rp 512 M | -Rp 705 M | -Rp 245 M | Rp 13 M | Rp 3.9 M |
| Interest Coverage(EBIT / Interest Expense) | 97.22x | 271.67x | 670.92x | 36.43x | 22.34x |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets ÷ Equity) | 1.43x | 1.44x | 1.39x | 1.58x | 1.45x |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin(Gross Profit / Revenue) | 23.8% | 21.3% | 26.5% | 22.6% | 22.1% |
| Operating Margin(EBIT / Revenue) | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% |
| Net Margin(Net Income / Revenue) | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| EBITDA(EBIT + D&A) | Rp 261 M | Rp 354 M | Rp 662 M | Rp 429 M | Rp 629 M |
| EBITDA Margin(EBITDA / Revenue) | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% |
| Return on Assets (ROA)(Net Income / Total Assets) | 9.3% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% |
| Return on Equity (ROE)(Net Income (Owners) / Equity (Owners)) | 13.4% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| Tax Burden (Net ÷ Pretax) | 0.88x | 0.82x | 0.80x | 0.82x | 0.79x |
| Interest Burden (Pretax ÷ EBIT) | 0.99x | 1.00x | 1.00x | 0.97x | 0.96x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 13.5% | 16.7% | 26.8% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
| Turnover | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover(Revenue / Total Assets) | 1.45x | 1.71x | 1.89x | 1.57x | 1.99x |
| Inventory Turnover(COGS / Inventory) | 2.44x | 3.18x | 2.22x | 2.12x | 2.72x |
| Receivables Turnover(Revenue / Receivables) | 27.49x | 29.92x | 35.11x | 37.27x | 32.02x |
| Payables Turnover(COGS / Payables) | 4.61x | 5.94x | 7.25x | 7.30x | 10.65x |
| Conversion Period | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)(365 × Inventory / COGS) | 149.6 days | 114.8 days | 164.1 days | 172.5 days | 134.2 days |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)(365 × Receivables / Revenue) | 13.3 days | 12.2 days | 10.4 days | 9.8 days | 11.4 days |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)(365 × Payables / COGS) | 79.2 days | 61.5 days | 50.4 days | 50.0 days | 34.3 days |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)(DIO + DSO − DPO) | 83.7 days | 65.6 days | 124.1 days | 132.3 days | 111.3 days |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow − Capex) | Rp 136 M | Rp 245 M | -Rp 328 M | -Rp 46 M | Rp 139 M |
Price Rp 1,703 · market cap Rp 3.6 T
| Multiple | WIIM | Peer median | vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 8.49x | 12.93x | -34% |
| P/B | 1.61x | 1.61x | 0% |
| P/S | 0.56x | 0.56x | 0% |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.67x | 5.74x | -1% |
| EV/EBIT | 6.40x | 8.74x | -27% |
| EV/Sales | 0.56x | 0.56x | 0% |
| FCF Yield | 3.91% | 7.78% | -50% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.80% | 3.80% | 0% |
Only 3 peers are covered here, so the median is itself one of the members. A 0% gap can simply mean WIIM sits at the median.
EV = mkt cap Rp 3.6 T + debt Rp 340 M − cash Rp 336 M + minority interest Rp 2.1 M = Rp 3.6 T
At today’s price, the market is paying for 18.5%/yr FCF growth (15.0% at 12.0% to 21.8% at 16.0% discount rates). Delivered over the last 4 years: 0.7% FCF · 23.6% revenue.
Reverse DCF: single-stage FCF, terminal growth 2.5%, discount band 12.0–16.0% (β=1; build cited in Methodology). Not a forecast.
This model projects the operating cash the whole business generates, discounts it back at the blended cost of capital, and subtracts net debt. What remains is the equity value, stated per share. Every input below comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and you can adjust each one yourself.
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rf (risk-free) | 7.26% | Indonesia 10Y government bond, 8 Jul 2026 |
| ERP (Rm − Rf) | 6.69% | Damodaran Indonesia, Jul 2026 (Baa2, CRP 2.46%) |
| β | 0.68 → 0.73 | Tobacco (unlevered) relevered at own D/E 0.10 |
| Cost of equity | 12.16% | Rf + β × ERP |
| Cost of debt | 7.34% | FY2025 interest expense ÷ total debt |
| Tax rate | 18.4% | median effective rate, FY2021–FY2025 (pretax ≈ EBIT − interest) |
| WACC | 11.63% | 91% E × CoE + 9% D × Kd × (1 − t) |
| Revenue growth (yr 1, fading) | 23.6% | delivered 4-yr revenue CAGR 23.6%, fading linearly to terminal |
| EBIT margin | 9.8% | mean EBIT margin, last 3 FYs |
| D&A / revenue | 1.1% | mean D&A/revenue, last 3 FYs |
| Capex / revenue | 3.5% | mean capex/revenue, last 3 FYs, for the explicit years; in the terminal year capex falls to replacement level (equal to depreciation, 1.1% of revenue) because holding a build-phase or pause-phase ratio in perpetuity misprices the company in whichever direction that phase points |
| ΔNWC / Δrevenue | 8.6% | median ΔNWC/Δrevenue across the seeded years (NWC = AR + inventory − AP) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | BI inflation-target midpoint (2.5% ± 1%) |
| Year | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | +5 | T∞ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.6% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | Rp 7.9 T | Rp 9.3 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 12 T |
| EBIT | Rp 770 M | Rp 911 M | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.2 T |
| NOPAT | Rp 628 M | Rp 743 M | Rp 840 M | Rp 905 M | Rp 928 M | Rp 951 M |
| + D&A | Rp 84 M | Rp 99 M | Rp 112 M | Rp 121 M | Rp 124 M | Rp 127 M |
| − Capex | Rp 274 M | Rp 324 M | Rp 367 M | Rp 395 M | Rp 405 M | Rp 127 M |
| − ΔNWC | Rp 130 M | Rp 125 M | Rp 105 M | Rp 71 M | Rp 25 M | Rp 25 M |
| FCFF | Rp 308 M | Rp 393 M | Rp 480 M | Rp 560 M | Rp 622 M | Rp 926 M |
| PV | Rp 276 M | Rp 315 M | Rp 345 M | Rp 361 M | Rp 359 M | Rp 5.9 T |
Check it yourself: revenue × margin = EBIT · NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax) · FCFF = NOPAT + D&A − Capex − ΔNWC · PV = FCFF ÷ (1+WACC)^yr · TV = FCFF(T∞) ÷ (WACC − g), discounted from year 5
EV = PV(explicit) Rp 1.7 T + PV(TV) Rp 5.9 T = Rp 7.5 T · TV 78% of EV · − net debt Rp 3.9 M − minority Rp 2.1 M
Model output: Rp 3,592/share (+111% vs price Rp 1,703)· exit-multiple check (5.7x): Rp 2,787
Under these assumptions the model lands 111% above today's price. The market, in other words, is paying for slower growth, a thinner margin, or a higher discount rate than the inputs here assume.
| g \ WACC | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 3,878 | 3,416 | 3,043 |
| 2.5% | 4,104 | 3,592 | 3,183 |
| 3.0% | 4,360 | 3,788 | 3,338 |
Model output under the stated assumptions. Every input above comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and every one can be adjusted. This is not a price target and not advice.
Educational analysis. Multiples pair today’s price with the latest audited fiscal year (trailing-FY convention); peer figures are the covered peer sample, not the whole market. Never a price target.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rp 2.7 T | Rp 3.7 T | Rp 4.9 T | Rp 4.8 T | Rp 6.4 T |
| Cost of Goods Sold | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.9 T | Rp 3.6 T | Rp 3.7 T | Rp 5.0 T |
| Gross Profit | Rp 652 M | Rp 789 M | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.4 T |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | Rp 203 M | Rp 303 M | Rp 615 M | Rp 376 M | Rp 557 M |
| Interest Expense | Rp 2.1 M | Rp 1.1 M | Rp 917 jt | Rp 10 M | Rp 25 M |
| Net Income | Rp 177 M | Rp 249 M | Rp 494 M | Rp 299 M | Rp 419 M |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | Rp 177 M | Rp 249 M | Rp 494 M | Rp 299 M | Rp 419 M |
| Depreciation & Amortization | Rp 58 M | Rp 51 M | Rp 46 M | Rp 52 M | Rp 72 M |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Rp 522 M | Rp 712 M | Rp 279 M | Rp 411 M | Rp 336 M |
| Accounts Receivable | Rp 99 M | Rp 124 M | Rp 139 M | Rp 127 M | Rp 199 M |
| Inventory | Rp 854 M | Rp 917 M | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.7 T | Rp 1.8 T |
| Current Assets | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.5 T | Rp 2.5 T |
| Total Assets | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 3.0 T | Rp 3.2 T |
| Accounts Payable | Rp 452 M | Rp 491 M | Rp 494 M | Rp 504 M | Rp 467 M |
| Current Liabilities | Rp 543 M | Rp 662 M | Rp 718 M | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 944 M |
| Total Liabilities | Rp 573 M | Rp 668 M | Rp 728 M | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 990 M |
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | Rp 10 M | Rp 7.6 M | Rp 34 M | Rp 424 M | Rp 340 M |
| Total Equity | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.2 T |
| Equity Attributable to Owners | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.2 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | Rp 180 M | Rp 300 M | -Rp 199 M | Rp 157 M | Rp 362 M |
| Capital Expenditure | Rp 44 M | Rp 56 M | Rp 129 M | Rp 203 M | Rp 223 M |
WIIM revenue (T IDR): 2.73 (2021) → 3.70 (2022) → 4.87 (2023) → 4.75 (2024, −2.5%) → 6.38 (2025); +133% cumulative, the fastest-growing name in this tobacco comp set. Gross margin: 23.8% (2021) → 21.3% (low) → 26.5% (2023 peak) → 22.6% → 22.1%. OPM: 7.4% → 8.2% → 12.6% (peak) → 7.9% → 8.7%. Net margin: 6.5% → 6.7% → 10.1% (peak) → 6.3% → 6.6%. ROE: 13.4% → 16.6% → 26.8% (peak) → 15.6% → 18.9%. ROIC: 13.5% → 16.7% → 26.8% → 15.9% → 19.8%. D/E: 0.008× → 0.005× → 0.019× → 0.222× (up) → 0.153×. FCF (T IDR): +0.14 → +0.25 → −0.33 (negative despite the best earnings year) → −0.05 → +0.14. Net debt (T IDR): −0.51 → −0.71 → −0.25 (all net cash) → +0.01 → +0.00 (essentially net-debt-neutral, tiny magnitudes either way). Current ratio: 2.93× → 2.84× → 3.08× → 2.44× → 2.63×. FY2023 stands out as an exceptional year across every profitability and return metric (peak OPM, net margin, ROE, ROIC), yet FCF turned negative that same year (−Rp0.33tn), most consistent with working-capital investment (inventory/receivables build) to support the revenue surge rather than a profitability problem. FY2024–25 margins normalised back to the FY2021–22 baseline range, while revenue dipped 2.5% in FY2024 then surged 34% in FY2025.
Tobacco is partly imported (FX exposure) while clove is domestically sourced; excise tape allocation and pricing also function as a government-set cost input.
Implication → Gross margin easing from the 26.5% FY2023 peak to ~22% (2024–25) is consistent with rising excise/input costs eating into margin even as volume grew: an interpretation, not a confirmed disclosure.
Diplomat’s premium-cigarette positioning (Indonesia’s first premium-priced MRC brand) gives some pricing power, but the broader kretek category is price-competitive.
Implication → Brand strength in the premium sub-segment supported the FY2023 margin peak; broader category competition explains why margins normalised afterward.
Excise licensing, brand-building costs, and distribution-network requirements are real barriers in the kretek industry, same as for GGRM/HMSP.
Implication → WIIM’s growth has come from share gains within the existing competitive set, not from an influx of new entrants changing the landscape.
Other kretek brands, international cigarette brands, and (at the margin) vaping/e-cigarettes compete for the same smokers.
Implication → Category-level substitution risk exists but has not slowed WIIM’s own growth over this window.
Competes with much larger GGRM and HMSP plus other kretek makers; WIIM’s small scale means it competes on brand niche (Diplomat’s premium position, Galan’s value SKM) rather than on scale.
Implication → The revenue nearly tripling over five years despite intense large-peer competition suggests real brand/distribution execution, not just a rising-tide market.
Curated narrative (educational interpretation), backed by the linked sources. The figures above are deterministic. Not investment advice.
The world’s second-largest cigarette market (~USD34bn, kretek-dominated): a high-volume, excise-squeezed, structurally-declining industry whose biggest player (Djarum) is private.