…
…
ROE = tax × interest × margin × turnover × leverage
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.75x | 0.79x | 0.77x | 0.78x | 0.76x |
| Interest burden | 1.00x | 1.00x | 1.00x | 1.00x | 1.00x |
| Operating margin | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Asset turnover | 0.91x | 0.95x | 0.93x | 0.97x | 0.95x |
| Leverage (equity mult.)driver | 1.50x | 1.43x | 1.45x | 1.49x | 1.59x |
| = Return on Equity (consolidated) | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
Consolidated (pre-minority-interest) basis; the headline ROE in the ratio grid is owners’ basis.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio(Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 2.57x | 3.00x | 2.86x | 2.69x | 2.45x |
| Quick Ratio((Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities) | 1.84x | 1.95x | 1.96x | 1.99x | 1.79x |
| Cash Ratio(Cash / Current Liabilities) | 0.98x | 0.74x | 0.48x | 0.63x | 0.50x |
| Working Capital(Current Assets − Current Liabilities) | Rp 932 M | Rp 966 M | Rp 937 M | Rp 956 M | Rp 985 M |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity (DER)(Total Debt / Total Equity) | 0.02x | 0.00x | 0.00x | 0.00x | 0.00x |
| Liabilities to Equity(Total Liabilities / Total Equity) | 0.50x | 0.43x | 0.45x | 0.49x | 0.59x |
| Debt to Assets(Total Debt / Total Assets) | 0.01x | 0.00x | 0.00x | 0.00x | 0.00x |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash) | -Rp 560 M | -Rp 355 M | -Rp 239 M | -Rp 357 M | -Rp 341 M |
| Interest Coverage(EBIT / Interest Expense) | 1,582.68x | 1,109.94x | 2,772.06x | 3,889.77x | 6,664.82x |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets ÷ Equity) | 1.50x | 1.43x | 1.45x | 1.49x | 1.59x |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin(Gross Profit / Revenue) | 52.4% | 52.5% | 51.6% | 52.3% | 54.1% |
| Operating Margin(EBIT / Revenue) | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Net Margin(Net Income / Revenue) | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| EBITDA(EBIT + D&A) | Rp 251 M | Rp 249 M | Rp 250 M | Rp 263 M | Rp 286 M |
| EBITDA Margin(EBITDA / Revenue) | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Return on Assets (ROA)(Net Income / Total Assets) | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Return on Equity (ROE)(Net Income (Owners) / Equity (Owners)) | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Tax Burden (Net ÷ Pretax) | 0.75x | 0.79x | 0.77x | 0.78x | 0.76x |
| Interest Burden (Pretax ÷ EBIT) | 1.00x | 1.00x | 1.00x | 1.00x | 1.00x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Turnover | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover(Revenue / Total Assets) | 0.91x | 0.95x | 0.93x | 0.97x | 0.95x |
| Inventory Turnover(COGS / Inventory) | 2.11x | 1.79x | 2.02x | 2.50x | 2.29x |
| Receivables Turnover(Revenue / Receivables) | 4.06x | 3.45x | 2.70x | 2.99x | 2.84x |
| Payables Turnover(COGS / Payables) | 5.99x | 8.46x | 9.80x | 11.38x | 10.13x |
| Conversion Period | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)(365 × Inventory / COGS) | 173.4 days | 203.6 days | 180.4 days | 146.2 days | 159.6 days |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)(365 × Receivables / Revenue) | 89.9 days | 105.9 days | 135.1 days | 122.0 days | 128.7 days |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)(365 × Payables / COGS) | 61.0 days | 43.1 days | 37.2 days | 32.1 days | 36.0 days |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)(DIO + DSO − DPO) | 202.4 days | 266.4 days | 278.3 days | 236.1 days | 252.3 days |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow − Capex) | Rp 350 M | -Rp 74 M | Rp 11 M | Rp 229 M | Rp 94 M |
Price Rp 1,598 · market cap Rp 1.8 T
| Multiple | DVLA | Peer median | vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.92x | 9.09x | +20% |
| P/B | 1.21x | 1.41x | -14% |
| P/S | 0.80x | 0.93x | -14% |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.06x | 5.35x | -5% |
| EV/EBIT | 6.72x | 6.62x | +1% |
| EV/Sales | 0.65x | 0.78x | -17% |
| FCF Yield | 5.24% | 7.21% | -27% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.76% | 6.85% | -1% |
EV = mkt cap Rp 1.8 T + debt Rp 207 jt − cash Rp 342 M + minority interest Rp 1.1 jt = Rp 1.4 T
At today’s price, the market is paying for 10.9%/yr FCF growth (7.7% at 12.0% to 14.0% at 16.0% discount rates). Delivered over the last 4 years: -28.1% FCF · 4.1% revenue.
Reverse DCF: single-stage FCF, terminal growth 2.5%, discount band 12.0–16.0% (β=1; build cited in Methodology). Not a forecast.
This model projects the operating cash the whole business generates, discounts it back at the blended cost of capital, and subtracts net debt. What remains is the equity value, stated per share. Every input below comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and you can adjust each one yourself.
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rf (risk-free) | 7.26% | Indonesia 10Y government bond, 8 Jul 2026 |
| ERP (Rm − Rf) | 6.69% | Damodaran Indonesia, Jul 2026 (Baa2, CRP 2.46%) |
| β | 0.89 → 0.89 | Drugs (Pharmaceutical) (unlevered) relevered at own D/E 0.00 |
| Cost of equity | 13.21% | Rf + β × ERP |
| Cost of debt | 15.64% | FY2025 interest expense ÷ total debt |
| Tax rate | 22.7% | median effective rate, FY2021–FY2025 (pretax ≈ EBIT − interest) |
| WACC | 13.21% | 100% E × CoE + 0% D × Kd × (1 − t) |
| Revenue growth (yr 1, fading) | 4.1% | delivered 4-yr revenue CAGR 4.1%, fading linearly to terminal |
| EBIT margin | 9.7% | mean EBIT margin, last 3 FYs |
| D&A / revenue | 3.1% | mean D&A/revenue, last 3 FYs |
| Capex / revenue | 5.0% | mean capex/revenue, last 3 FYs, for the explicit years; in the terminal year capex falls to replacement level (equal to depreciation, 3.1% of revenue) because holding a build-phase or pause-phase ratio in perpetuity misprices the company in whichever direction that phase points |
| ΔNWC / Δrevenue | -25.4% | median ΔNWC/Δrevenue across the seeded years (NWC = AR + inventory − AP) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | BI inflation-target midpoint (2.5% ± 1%) |
| Year | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | +5 | T∞ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | Rp 2.3 T | Rp 2.4 T | Rp 2.5 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 2.7 T |
| EBIT | Rp 226 M | Rp 235 M | Rp 243 M | Rp 250 M | Rp 256 M | Rp 262 M |
| NOPAT | Rp 175 M | Rp 182 M | Rp 188 M | Rp 193 M | Rp 198 M | Rp 203 M |
| + D&A | Rp 73 M | Rp 76 M | Rp 78 M | Rp 80 M | Rp 82 M | Rp 84 M |
| − Capex | Rp 115 M | Rp 120 M | Rp 124 M | Rp 127 M | Rp 130 M | Rp 84 M |
| − ΔNWC | -Rp 23 M | -Rp 22 M | -Rp 20 M | -Rp 18 M | -Rp 16 M | -Rp 17 M |
| FCFF | Rp 156 M | Rp 159 M | Rp 162 M | Rp 164 M | Rp 166 M | Rp 219 M |
| PV | Rp 138 M | Rp 124 M | Rp 112 M | Rp 100 M | Rp 89 M | Rp 1.1 T |
Check it yourself: revenue × margin = EBIT · NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax) · FCFF = NOPAT + D&A − Capex − ΔNWC · PV = FCFF ÷ (1+WACC)^yr · TV = FCFF(T∞) ÷ (WACC − g), discounted from year 5
EV = PV(explicit) Rp 563 M + PV(TV) Rp 1.1 T = Rp 1.7 T · TV 66% of EV · − net debt -Rp 341 M − minority Rp 1.1 jt
Model output: Rp 1,791/share (+12% vs price Rp 1,598)· exit-multiple check (5.4x): Rp 1,677
Under these assumptions the model lands 12% above today's price. The market, in other words, is paying for slower growth, a thinner margin, or a higher discount rate than the inputs here assume.
| g \ WACC | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 1,858 | 1,711 | 1,589 |
| 2.5% | 1,954 | 1,791 | 1,656 |
| 3.0% | 2,060 | 1,878 | 1,729 |
Model output under the stated assumptions. Every input above comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and every one can be adjusted. This is not a price target and not advice.
Educational analysis. Multiples pair today’s price with the latest audited fiscal year (trailing-FY convention); peer figures are the covered peer sample, not the whole market. Never a price target.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.2 T |
| Cost of Goods Sold | Rp 905 M | Rp 911 M | Rp 916 M | Rp 995 M | Rp 1.0 T |
| Gross Profit | Rp 996 M | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 975 M | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.2 T |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | Rp 195 M | Rp 190 M | Rp 189 M | Rp 200 M | Rp 216 M |
| Interest Expense | Rp 123 jt | Rp 171 jt | Rp 68 jt | Rp 51 jt | Rp 32 jt |
| Net Income | Rp 147 M | Rp 149 M | Rp 146 M | Rp 156 M | Rp 164 M |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | Rp 147 M | Rp 149 M | Rp 146 M | Rp 156 M | Rp 164 M |
| Depreciation & Amortization | Rp 56 M | Rp 59 M | Rp 61 M | Rp 63 M | Rp 71 M |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Rp 583 M | Rp 357 M | Rp 240 M | Rp 358 M | Rp 342 M |
| Accounts Receivable | Rp 468 M | Rp 556 M | Rp 700 M | Rp 698 M | Rp 787 M |
| Inventory | Rp 430 M | Rp 508 M | Rp 453 M | Rp 399 M | Rp 448 M |
| Current Assets | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.7 T |
| Total Assets | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.4 T |
| Accounts Payable | Rp 151 M | Rp 108 M | Rp 93 M | Rp 87 M | Rp 101 M |
| Current Liabilities | Rp 595 M | Rp 482 M | Rp 504 M | Rp 566 M | Rp 680 M |
| Total Liabilities | Rp 691 M | Rp 606 M | Rp 638 M | Rp 713 M | Rp 870 M |
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | Rp 23 M | Rp 1.9 M | Rp 1.5 M | Rp 1.0 M | Rp 207 jt |
| Total Equity | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.5 T |
| Equity Attributable to Owners | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.5 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | Rp 435 M | -Rp 16 M | Rp 109 M | Rp 332 M | Rp 201 M |
| Capital Expenditure | Rp 85 M | Rp 58 M | Rp 98 M | Rp 103 M | Rp 107 M |
DVLA revenue (T IDR): 1.90 (2021) → 1.92 (2022) → 1.89 (2023) → 2.09 (2024) → 2.23 (2025); flat FY2021–23, then +18% cumulative FY2023–25. Gross margin: 52.4% → 52.5% → 51.6% → 52.3% → 54.1% (five-year high in FY2025). OPM: 10.3% → 9.9% → 10.0% → 9.6% → 9.7%. Net margin: 7.7% → 7.8% → 7.7% → 7.5% → 7.4%. ROE: 10.5% → 10.6% → 10.4% → 10.8% → 11.1%. ROA: 7.0% → 7.4% → 7.2% → 7.2% → 7.0%. ROIC: 10.5% → 10.7% → 10.4% → 10.8% → 11.1% (tracks ROE almost exactly; a signature of near-zero debt). D/E: 0.02× → 0.00× → 0.00× → 0.00× → 0.00× (falling toward zero every year). Net debt (T IDR): −0.56 → −0.36 → −0.24 → −0.36 → −0.34 (net cash every year, though the cash cushion thinned FY2021–23 before partly rebuilding). Interest coverage runs into the thousands of times every year (interest expense is nominal given near-zero debt), not a meaningful ratio on its own, but it confirms debt service is a non-issue throughout. FCF (T IDR): +0.35 → −0.07 → +0.01 → +0.23 → +0.09 (two soft years, FY2022 negative, FY2023 barely positive, despite stable net income both years). Current ratio: 2.57× → 3.00× → 2.86× → 2.69× → 2.45×. Asset turnover: 0.91× → 0.95× → 0.93× → 0.97× → 0.95×. The defining pattern: DVLA’s margins are the steadiest in the pharma group, though SIDO earns a higher gross margin in every year (gross margin never leaves a roughly 52–54% band across the cycle, net margin barely moves 7.4–7.8%), yet ROE (10.4–11.1%) sits below higher-turnover peers because asset turnover (0.91–0.97×) is structurally modest relative to the company’s high-margin, low-leverage, cash-generative-but-conservative balance sheet; this is a stability, not a growth, profile.
Some multivitamin/respiratory actives are imported, but the company’s toll-manufacturing and export capability implies reasonably sophisticated in-house formulation; the near-zero-debt balance sheet also means input-cost swings are absorbed without solvency pressure.
Implication → Gross margin has stayed in a tight 51.6–54.1% band across the period regardless: the most stable of the pharma comp set.
Natur-E and the Enervon franchise are trusted, long-standing OTC brands with real consumer recall; Decolgen/Decolsin/Neozep are established respiratory-OTC names too.
Implication → Supports the stable gross margin, though net margin (7.4–7.8%) is unremarkable: SG&A and below-the-line items absorb the brand strength before it reaches the bottom line.
Brand heritage (since 1976, IDX-listed since 1994) and an established Bogor manufacturing base are real barriers, but the OTC vitamin/cold-relief categories see periodic new entrants, local and multinational, competing for shelf space.
Implication → Moat rests more on brand trust and majority-owner backing than on hard structural barriers.
Numerous multivitamin and cold/flu-relief brands compete, both multinational and local (including TSPC’s own Hemaviton and SIDO’s herbal remedies), plus pharmacy private labels.
Implication → Caps category-level pricing power; DVLA’s response is brand trust and consistency rather than category dominance.
Competes directly with SIDO (herbal/vitamins), TSPC (Hemaviton), KLBF and multinational OTC brands in the same vitamin and cold-relief shelf space.
Implication → Explains the unremarkable net margin (7.4–7.8%) despite a strong, stable gross margin: competitive intensity shows up below the gross-margin line.
Curated narrative (educational interpretation), backed by the linked sources. The figures above are deterministic. Not investment advice.
A ~USD 10–12B market dominated by generics and shaped by JKN/BPJS reimbursement: Kalbe Farma leads ASEAN, but ~90% API import dependency and IDR exposure are structural cost risks.