…
…
ROE = tax × interest × margin × turnover × leverage
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.64x | 0.70x | 0.71x | 0.58x | 0.70x |
| Interest burden | 0.97x | 0.96x | 0.97x | 0.96x | 0.93x |
| Operating margindriver | 11.7% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| Asset turnover | 1.01x | 0.98x | 1.02x | 0.86x | 0.89x |
| Leverage (equity mult.) | 1.43x | 1.37x | 1.36x | 1.62x | 1.46x |
| = Return on Equity (consolidated) | 10.3% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 10.7% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% |
Consolidated (pre-minority-interest) basis; the headline ROE in the ratio grid is owners’ basis.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio(Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 1.58x | 1.23x | 1.20x | 0.85x | 0.79x |
| Quick Ratio((Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities) | 1.45x | 1.14x | 1.12x | 0.81x | 0.73x |
| Cash Ratio(Cash / Current Liabilities) | 0.86x | 0.49x | 0.46x | 0.41x | 0.27x |
| Working Capital(Current Assets − Current Liabilities) | Rp 1.3 T | Rp 509 M | Rp 498 M | -Rp 768 M | -Rp 909 M |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity (DER)(Total Debt / Total Equity) | 0.09x | 0.07x | 0.08x | 0.31x | 0.16x |
| Liabilities to Equity(Total Liabilities / Total Equity) | 0.43x | 0.37x | 0.36x | 0.62x | 0.46x |
| Debt to Assets(Total Debt / Total Assets) | 0.06x | 0.05x | 0.06x | 0.19x | 0.11x |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash) | -Rp 1.3 T | -Rp 554 M | -Rp 539 M | Rp 617 M | Rp 477 M |
| Interest Coverage(EBIT / Interest Expense) | 28.89x | 27.11x | 33.98x | 28.28x | 13.96x |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets ÷ Equity) | 1.43x | 1.37x | 1.36x | 1.62x | 1.46x |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin(Gross Profit / Revenue) | 36.4% | 35.1% | 38.0% | 38.1% | 36.8% |
| Operating Margin(EBIT / Revenue) | 11.7% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| Net Margin(Net Income / Revenue) | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% |
| EBITDA(EBIT + D&A) | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.2 T |
| EBITDA Margin(EBITDA / Revenue) | 17.1% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Return on Assets (ROA)(Net Income / Total Assets) | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% |
| Return on Equity (ROE)(Net Income (Owners) / Equity (Owners)) | 10.5% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Tax Burden (Net ÷ Pretax) | 0.64x | 0.70x | 0.71x | 0.58x | 0.70x |
| Interest Burden (Pretax ÷ EBIT) | 0.97x | 0.96x | 0.97x | 0.96x | 0.93x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 10.7% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% |
| Turnover | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover(Revenue / Total Assets) | 1.01x | 0.98x | 1.02x | 0.86x | 0.89x |
| Inventory Turnover(COGS / Inventory) | 19.75x | 30.59x | 34.10x | 37.36x | 34.66x |
| Receivables Turnover(Revenue / Receivables) | 8.09x | 8.04x | 7.72x | 6.76x | 7.51x |
| Payables Turnover(COGS / Payables) | 28.66x | 35.50x | 31.30x | 19.93x | 19.15x |
| Conversion Period | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)(365 × Inventory / COGS) | 18.5 days | 11.9 days | 10.7 days | 9.8 days | 10.5 days |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)(365 × Receivables / Revenue) | 45.1 days | 45.4 days | 47.3 days | 54.0 days | 48.6 days |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)(365 × Payables / COGS) | 12.7 days | 10.3 days | 11.7 days | 18.3 days | 19.1 days |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)(DIO + DSO − DPO) | 50.8 days | 47.1 days | 46.3 days | 45.4 days | 40.0 days |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow − Capex) | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 505 M | Rp 671 M | Rp 693 M | Rp 669 M |
Price Rp 2,199 · market cap Rp 29 T
| Multiple | SILO | Peer median | vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 25.68x | 25.68x | 0% |
| P/B | 2.95x | 2.95x | 0% |
| P/S | 2.22x | 2.22x | 0% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.27x | 11.27x | +18% |
| EV/EBIT | 17.09x | 16.82x | +2% |
| EV/Sales | 2.28x | 2.28x | -0% |
| FCF Yield | 2.34% | 2.34% | 0% |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.87%(2/3) | — |
Only 3 peers are covered here, so the median is itself one of the members. A 0% gap can simply mean SILO sits at the median.
EV = mkt cap Rp 29 T + debt Rp 1.6 T − cash Rp 1.2 T + minority interest Rp 233 M = Rp 29 T
At today’s price, the market is paying for 26.5%/yr FCF growth (22.6% at 12.0% to 30.1% at 16.0% discount rates). Delivered over the last 4 years: -17.0% FCF · 8.2% revenue.
Reverse DCF: single-stage FCF, terminal growth 2.5%, discount band 12.0–16.0% (β=1; build cited in Methodology). Not a forecast.
This model projects the operating cash the whole business generates, discounts it back at the blended cost of capital, and subtracts net debt. What remains is the equity value, stated per share. Every input below comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and you can adjust each one yourself.
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rf (risk-free) | 7.26% | Indonesia 10Y government bond, 8 Jul 2026 |
| ERP (Rm − Rf) | 6.69% | Damodaran Indonesia, Jul 2026 (Baa2, CRP 2.46%) |
| β | 0.55 → 0.57 | Hospitals/Healthcare Facilities (unlevered) relevered at own D/E 0.06 |
| Cost of equity | 11.09% | Rf + β × ERP |
| Cost of debt | 7.50% | FY2025 interest expense ÷ total debt |
| Tax rate | 30.4% | median effective rate, FY2021–FY2025 (pretax ≈ EBIT − interest) |
| WACC | 10.77% | 95% E × CoE + 5% D × Kd × (1 − t) |
| Revenue growth (yr 1, fading) | 8.2% | delivered 4-yr revenue CAGR 8.2%, fading linearly to terminal |
| EBIT margin | 14.1% | mean EBIT margin, last 3 FYs |
| D&A / revenue | 3.9% | mean D&A/revenue, last 3 FYs |
| Capex / revenue | 13.4% | mean capex/revenue, last 3 FYs, for the explicit years; in the terminal year capex falls to replacement level (equal to depreciation, 3.9% of revenue) because holding a build-phase or pause-phase ratio in perpetuity misprices the company in whichever direction that phase points |
| ΔNWC / Δrevenue | -1.9% | median ΔNWC/Δrevenue across the seeded years (NWC = AR + inventory − AP) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | BI inflation-target midpoint (2.5% ± 1%) |
| Year | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | +5 | T∞ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | Rp 14 T | Rp 15 T | Rp 16 T | Rp 16 T | Rp 17 T | Rp 17 T |
| EBIT | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.3 T | Rp 2.4 T | Rp 2.4 T |
| NOPAT | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.5 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.7 T |
| + D&A | Rp 549 M | Rp 586 M | Rp 617 M | Rp 641 M | Rp 658 M | Rp 674 M |
| − Capex | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 674 M |
| − ΔNWC | -Rp 20 M | -Rp 18 M | -Rp 15 M | -Rp 12 M | -Rp 7.9 M | -Rp 8.0 M |
| FCFF | Rp 77 M | Rp 79 M | Rp 79 M | Rp 78 M | Rp 76 M | Rp 1.7 T |
| PV | Rp 70 M | Rp 64 M | Rp 58 M | Rp 52 M | Rp 46 M | Rp 12 T |
Check it yourself: revenue × margin = EBIT · NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax) · FCFF = NOPAT + D&A − Capex − ΔNWC · PV = FCFF ÷ (1+WACC)^yr · TV = FCFF(T∞) ÷ (WACC − g), discounted from year 5
EV = PV(explicit) Rp 290 M + PV(TV) Rp 12 T = Rp 13 T · TV 98% of EV · − net debt Rp 477 M − minority Rp 233 M
Model output: Rp 909/share (-59% vs price Rp 2,199)· exit-multiple check (11.3x): Rp 1,533
Under these assumptions the model lands 59% below today's price. The market, in other words, is paying for faster growth, a fatter margin, or a lower discount rate than the inputs here assume.
| g \ WACC | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 998 | 840 | 715 |
| 2.5% | 1,089 | 909 | 770 |
| 3.0% | 1,194 | 988 | 832 |
Model output under the stated assumptions. Every input above comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and every one can be adjusted. This is not a price target and not advice.
Educational analysis. Multiples pair today’s price with the latest audited fiscal year (trailing-FY convention); peer figures are the covered peer sample, not the whole market. Never a price target.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rp 9.4 T | Rp 9.5 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 13 T |
| Cost of Goods Sold | Rp 6.0 T | Rp 6.2 T | Rp 6.9 T | Rp 7.6 T | Rp 8.1 T |
| Gross Profit | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 4.2 T | Rp 4.6 T | Rp 4.7 T |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.7 T |
| Interest Expense | Rp 38 M | Rp 38 M | Rp 52 M | Rp 57 M | Rp 123 M |
| Net Income | Rp 674 M | Rp 696 M | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 902 M | Rp 1.1 T |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | Rp 674 M | Rp 696 M | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 902 M | Rp 1.1 T |
| Depreciation & Amortization | Rp 507 M | Rp 506 M | Rp 478 M | Rp 456 M | Rp 494 M |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Rp 1.9 T | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 1.2 T |
| Accounts Receivable | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.8 T | Rp 1.7 T |
| Inventory | Rp 302 M | Rp 202 M | Rp 204 M | Rp 202 M | Rp 234 M |
| Current Assets | Rp 3.5 T | Rp 2.7 T | Rp 3.1 T | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 3.3 T |
| Total Assets | Rp 9.3 T | Rp 9.7 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 14 T | Rp 14 T |
| Accounts Payable | Rp 208 M | Rp 174 M | Rp 222 M | Rp 379 M | Rp 424 M |
| Current Liabilities | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 5.1 T | Rp 4.2 T |
| Total Liabilities | Rp 2.8 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 2.9 T | Rp 5.5 T | Rp 4.6 T |
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | Rp 565 M | Rp 512 M | Rp 647 M | Rp 2.7 T | Rp 1.6 T |
| Total Equity | Rp 6.5 T | Rp 7.1 T | Rp 8.0 T | Rp 8.8 T | Rp 9.9 T |
| Equity Attributable to Owners | Rp 6.4 T | Rp 7.0 T | Rp 7.9 T | Rp 8.6 T | Rp 9.7 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 1.7 T | Rp 2.1 T | Rp 2.3 T | Rp 2.5 T |
| Capital Expenditure | Rp 625 M | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.8 T |
Siloam International Hospitals is Indonesia’s largest private hospital operator by revenue (Rp12.85tn in FY2025, against Hermina’s Rp7.13tn and Mitra Keluarga’s Rp5.37tn), running ~40 hospitals nationwide, with a broad spread across geographies and payers (private plus BPJS). Now controlled by CVC Capital Partners after the Lippo era, it is the scale-and-reach play: margins are solid but mid-tier (EBITDA ~17%, net ~9%) and ROE runs ~10–15%, sitting below premium peer MIKA because its mix is broader, more BPJS-weighted, and still carrying growth investment. It is a scale leader with room for operational improvement under private-equity ownership, and the factors that move it are occupancy, case mix, and BPJS policy.
Specialist doctors and medical equipment/consumables (some imported) carry cost power; scale aids procurement.
Implication → Doctor attraction/retention and equipment costs are key; scale gives some leverage.
BPJS (the national insurer) sets tariffs (INA-CBG) for a large share of patients; private payers/insurers negotiate.
Implication → BPJS tariffs cap margins on that mix: the main reason SILO trails premium peers.
New hospitals need capital, licensing and doctors, but local single-hospital entrants exist.
Implication → Network scale defends SILO, but local competition is real.
Limited substitutes for hospital care; minor leakage to overseas treatment and clinics.
Implication → Demand is defensive and structurally growing.
Competes with MIKA, Hermina and others for patients and doctors.
Implication → Pressures pricing/occupancy; scale and network breadth are SILO’s defence.
Curated narrative (educational interpretation), backed by the linked sources. The figures above are deterministic. Not investment advice.
A USD 11.6B market structurally undersupplied at 1.4 beds/1,000 people: BPJS’ 270M members fill mass-market hospitals while a premium tier earns 25%+ EBITDA. Fragmented and ripe for consolidation.