…
…
ROE = tax × interest × margin × turnover × leverage
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.84x | 0.73x | 0.75x | 0.77x | 0.75x |
| Interest burden | 0.75x | 0.66x | 0.61x | 0.58x | 0.62x |
| Operating margin | 62.8% | 64.5% | 60.8% | 58.5% | 58.9% |
| Asset turnover | 0.13x | 0.17x | 0.17x | 0.16x | 0.17x |
| Leverage (equity mult.)driver | 5.46x | 4.55x | 4.14x | 4.06x | 2.85x |
| = Return on Equity (consolidated) | 28.4% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
Consolidated (pre-minority-interest) basis; the headline ROE in the ratio grid is owners’ basis.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio(Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 0.34x | 0.25x | 0.18x | 0.25x | 0.18x |
| Quick Ratio((Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities) | 0.34x | 0.25x | 0.18x | 0.25x | 0.17x |
| Cash Ratio(Cash / Current Liabilities) | 0.22x | 0.02x | 0.02x | 0.05x | 0.03x |
| Working Capital(Current Assets − Current Liabilities) | -Rp 14 T | -Rp 11 T | -Rp 20 T | -Rp 15 T | -Rp 16 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity (DER)(Total Debt / Total Equity) | 3.91x | 3.12x | 2.72x | 2.73x | 1.67x |
| Liabilities to Equity(Total Liabilities / Total Equity) | 4.46x | 3.55x | 3.14x | 3.06x | 1.85x |
| Debt to Assets(Total Debt / Total Assets) | 0.72x | 0.69x | 0.66x | 0.67x | 0.59x |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash) | Rp 42 T | Rp 45 T | Rp 45 T | Rp 51 T | Rp 45 T |
| Interest Coverage(EBIT / Interest Expense) | 3.98x | 2.97x | 2.55x | 2.39x | 2.66x |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets ÷ Equity) | 5.46x | 4.55x | 4.14x | 4.06x | 2.85x |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin(Gross Profit / Revenue) | 94.4% | 94.5% | 94.2% | 92.9% | 91.6% |
| Operating Margin(EBIT / Revenue) | 62.8% | 64.5% | 60.8% | 58.5% | 58.9% |
| Net Margin(Net Income / Revenue) | 39.7% | 31.2% | 27.7% | 26.2% | 27.6% |
| EBITDA(EBIT + D&A) | Rp 6.3 T | Rp 8.2 T | Rp 8.7 T | Rp 9.2 T | Rp 9.8 T |
| EBITDA Margin(EBITDA / Revenue) | 72.9% | 74.7% | 74.2% | 72.0% | 73.3% |
| Return on Assets (ROA)(Net Income / Total Assets) | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% |
| Return on Equity (ROE)(Net Income (Owners) / Equity (Owners)) | 28.5% | 23.9% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 13.6% |
| Tax Burden (Net ÷ Pretax) | 0.84x | 0.73x | 0.75x | 0.77x | 0.75x |
| Interest Burden (Pretax ÷ EBIT) | 0.75x | 0.66x | 0.61x | 0.58x | 0.62x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Turnover | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover(Revenue / Total Assets) | 0.13x | 0.17x | 0.17x | 0.16x | 0.17x |
| Inventory Turnover(COGS / Inventory) | — | — | 46.97x | 56.36x | 130.93x |
| Receivables Turnover(Revenue / Receivables) | 3.98x | 4.31x | 3.80x | 3.68x | 6.20x |
| Payables Turnover(COGS / Payables) | 0.92x | 0.72x | 0.57x | 0.89x | 0.94x |
| Conversion Period | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)(365 × Inventory / COGS) | 0.0 days | 0.0 days | 7.8 days | 6.5 days | 2.8 days |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)(365 × Receivables / Revenue) | 91.8 days | 84.6 days | 96.0 days | 99.2 days | 58.9 days |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)(365 × Payables / COGS) | 396.4 days | 504.0 days | 643.6 days | 409.5 days | 388.8 days |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)(DIO + DSO − DPO) | -304.6 days | -419.4 days | -539.9 days | -303.8 days | -327.2 days |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow − Capex) | Rp 4.0 T | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 4.3 T | Rp 4.8 T | Rp 7.1 T |
Price Rp 404 · market cap Rp 23 T
| Multiple | TOWR | Peer median | vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 6.38x | 8.65x | -26% |
| P/B | 0.87x | 0.87x | 0% |
| P/S | 1.76x | 1.76x | 0% |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.98x | 9.19x | -24% |
| EV/EBIT | 8.68x | 12.25x | -29% |
| EV/Sales | 5.11x | 5.11x | 0% |
| FCF Yield | 30.10% | 12.97% | +132% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.41% | 4.48%(4/5) | -24% |
EV = mkt cap Rp 23 T + debt Rp 45 T − cash Rp 648 M + minority interest Rp 111 M = Rp 68 T
At today’s price, the market is paying for 3.7%/yr FCF growth (0.8% at 12.0% to 6.5% at 16.0% discount rates). Delivered over the last 4 years: 15.3% FCF · 11.5% revenue.
Reverse DCF: single-stage FCF, terminal growth 2.5%, discount band 12.0–16.0% (β=1; build cited in Methodology). Not a forecast.
This model projects the operating cash the whole business generates, discounts it back at the blended cost of capital, and subtracts net debt. What remains is the equity value, stated per share. Every input below comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and you can adjust each one yourself.
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rf (risk-free) | 7.26% | Indonesia 10Y government bond, 8 Jul 2026 |
| ERP (Rm − Rf) | 6.69% | Damodaran Indonesia, Jul 2026 (Baa2, CRP 2.46%) |
| β | 0.68 → 1.66 | Transportation (unlevered) relevered at own D/E 1.93 |
| Cost of equity | 18.38% | Rf + β × ERP |
| Cost of debt | 6.52% | FY2025 interest expense ÷ total debt |
| Tax rate | 25.0% | median effective rate, FY2021–FY2025 (pretax ≈ EBIT − interest) |
| WACC | 9.50% | 34% E × CoE + 66% D × Kd × (1 − t) |
| Revenue growth (yr 1, fading) | 11.5% | delivered 4-yr revenue CAGR 11.5%, fading linearly to terminal |
| EBIT margin | 59.4% | mean EBIT margin, last 3 FYs |
| D&A / revenue | 13.8% | mean D&A/revenue, last 3 FYs |
| Capex / revenue | 33.0% | mean capex/revenue, last 3 FYs, for the explicit years; in the terminal year capex falls to replacement level (equal to depreciation, 13.8% of revenue) because holding a build-phase or pause-phase ratio in perpetuity misprices the company in whichever direction that phase points |
| ΔNWC / Δrevenue | 13.9% | median ΔNWC/Δrevenue across the seeded years (NWC = AR + inventory − AP) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | BI inflation-target midpoint (2.5% ± 1%) |
| Year | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | +5 | T∞ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | Rp 15 T | Rp 16 T | Rp 17 T | Rp 18 T | Rp 19 T | Rp 19 T |
| EBIT | Rp 8.8 T | Rp 9.6 T | Rp 10 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 11 T |
| NOPAT | Rp 6.6 T | Rp 7.2 T | Rp 7.7 T | Rp 8.1 T | Rp 8.3 T | Rp 8.5 T |
| + D&A | Rp 2.0 T | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.4 T | Rp 2.5 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 2.6 T |
| − Capex | Rp 4.9 T | Rp 5.4 T | Rp 5.7 T | Rp 6.0 T | Rp 6.2 T | Rp 2.6 T |
| − ΔNWC | Rp 212 M | Rp 190 M | Rp 157 M | Rp 114 M | Rp 63 M | Rp 65 M |
| FCFF | Rp 3.5 T | Rp 3.9 T | Rp 4.2 T | Rp 4.5 T | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 8.4 T |
| PV | Rp 3.2 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 3.2 T | Rp 3.1 T | Rp 3.0 T | Rp 77 T |
Check it yourself: revenue × margin = EBIT · NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax) · FCFF = NOPAT + D&A − Capex − ΔNWC · PV = FCFF ÷ (1+WACC)^yr · TV = FCFF(T∞) ÷ (WACC − g), discounted from year 5
EV = PV(explicit) Rp 16 T + PV(TV) Rp 77 T = Rp 92 T · TV 83% of EV · − net debt Rp 45 T − minority Rp 111 M
Model output: Rp 823/share (+104% vs price Rp 404)· exit-multiple check (9.2x): Rp 873
Under these assumptions the model lands 104% above today's price. The market, in other words, is paying for slower growth, a thinner margin, or a higher discount rate than the inputs here assume.
| g \ WACC | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 975 | 715 | 518 |
| 2.5% | 1,122 | 823 | 599 |
| 3.0% | 1,297 | 947 | 692 |
Model output under the stated assumptions. Every input above comes from the company's own audited record or from cited market data, and every one can be adjusted. This is not a price target and not advice.
Educational analysis. Multiples pair today’s price with the latest audited fiscal year (trailing-FY convention); peer figures are the covered peer sample, not the whole market. Never a price target.
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rp 8.6 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 13 T | Rp 13 T |
| Cost of Goods Sold | Rp 480 M | Rp 608 M | Rp 684 M | Rp 899 M | Rp 1.1 T |
| Gross Profit | Rp 8.2 T | Rp 10 T | Rp 11 T | Rp 12 T | Rp 12 T |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | Rp 5.4 T | Rp 7.1 T | Rp 7.1 T | Rp 7.5 T | Rp 7.9 T |
| Interest Expense | Rp 1.4 T | Rp 2.4 T | Rp 2.8 T | Rp 3.1 T | Rp 2.9 T |
| Net Income | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 3.7 T |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 3.4 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 3.3 T | Rp 3.7 T |
| Depreciation & Amortization | Rp 873 M | Rp 1.1 T | Rp 1.6 T | Rp 1.7 T | Rp 1.9 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 309 M | Rp 429 M | Rp 940 M | Rp 648 M |
| Accounts Receivable | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 2.6 T | Rp 3.1 T | Rp 3.5 T | Rp 2.1 T |
| Inventory | Rp 0 | Rp 0 | Rp 15 M | Rp 16 M | Rp 8.5 M |
| Current Assets | Rp 7.4 T | Rp 3.7 T | Rp 4.4 T | Rp 5.0 T | Rp 3.4 T |
| Total Assets | Rp 66 T | Rp 66 T | Rp 68 T | Rp 78 T | Rp 77 T |
| Accounts Payable | Rp 522 M | Rp 839 M | Rp 1.2 T | Rp 1.0 T | Rp 1.2 T |
| Current Liabilities | Rp 22 T | Rp 14 T | Rp 24 T | Rp 20 T | Rp 20 T |
| Total Liabilities | Rp 54 T | Rp 51 T | Rp 52 T | Rp 59 T | Rp 50 T |
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | Rp 47 T | Rp 45 T | Rp 45 T | Rp 52 T | Rp 45 T |
| Total Equity | Rp 12 T | Rp 14 T | Rp 17 T | Rp 19 T | Rp 27 T |
| Equity Attributable to Owners | Rp 12 T | Rp 14 T | Rp 16 T | Rp 19 T | Rp 27 T |
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | Rp 6.2 T | Rp 8.1 T | Rp 8.9 T | Rp 9.3 T | Rp 10 T |
| Capital Expenditure | Rp 2.2 T | Rp 4.7 T | Rp 4.6 T | Rp 4.5 T | Rp 3.3 T |
Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR) is the Djarum-backed, second-largest tower company in Indonesia, operating ~28,000 cell towers that it leases to the mobile operators (Telkomsel, XL, Indosat, Smartfren) under long-term colocation contracts (10–15 year initial terms with CPI escalators). The colocation model, where several tenants share the same tower, delivers near-vertical gross margins (91–94%), because the operating cost per tower is minimal once it is built; EBITDA margins run 72–74%. FCF has grown from Rp4.3tn to Rp7.1tn (FY23–25), and D/E dropped sharply from 2.73 to 1.67 in FY25 on deleveraging. ROIC of only 8% looks low, but that reflects the massive book value of ~28,000 towers rather than weak cash generation; the return metric that matters here is FCF yield. This is a toll-road-like infrastructure franchise with near-permanent revenue visibility, growing FCF and falling leverage, and what moves it is the tenancy ratio (how many operators sit on each tower) and 5G tower densification.
A tower is a one-time capital outlay (steel, land lease, permits), and TOWR carries ~28,000 of them, built or acquired: the +27.8% revenue jump from FY21 to FY22 came from buying tower portfolios.
EconomicsThat huge asset base is why ROIC looks low (~8%): the denominator is enormous. It reflects the size of the investment, not weak cash generation, so FCF yield, not ROIC, is the right lens here.
The first mobile operator (Telkomsel, XL, Indosat or Smartfren) leases antenna space on a 10–15 year contract with CPI escalators.
EconomicsThe rent from one tenant roughly covers the fixed running cost of the tower (land rent, power, maintenance). Below one tenant a tower bleeds; at one it about breaks even. Everything interesting happens above one.
Extra operators bolt their antennas onto the tower already standing; a tenancy ratio of ~1.5–1.6× means most towers carry about 1.5 operators.
EconomicsThis is the whole game. A second tenant adds a full rent stream at almost zero extra cost, because the tower is already built and staffed, so ~85–90% of that rent drops to profit. This "colocation leverage" is why gross margin sits near 94% and EBITDA margin at 72–74%.
Leases embed CPI escalators, so the rent rises automatically every year across the 10–15 year term, with no new tower and no sales effort.
EconomicsRevenue compounds like an inflation-linked annuity, which is why the top line grew every single year (Rp8.6tn→Rp13.3tn) off a largely fixed asset base: predictable, contracted, low-churn.
Towers are bought with debt; TOWR then points the rising cash flow at paying it down, cutting D/E from 3.91 to 1.67 across five years.
EconomicsInterest is the OTHER big cost (Rp2.8tn at its peak). Every rupiah of deleveraging shrinks that bill, which drops straight to net income and lifts free cash flow, from about Rp4.0tn toward Rp7.1tn by FY25. Leasing builds the cash; deleveraging keeps more of it.
Cost structureFixed, not variable. Nearly the entire cost of a tower is the one-time build; the ongoing site cost (land, power, maintenance) is small and roughly flat no matter how many tenants sit on it. So profit is driven by tenants-per-tower, not by revenue-linked cost, which is why each extra tenant flows almost straight to EBITDA. The one large variable cost is financial: interest on acquisition debt, which is why deleveraging matters as much as new leases.
Cash cycleFront-loaded, then annuity-like. Cash goes OUT first to build or buy the tower (capex ~Rp2.2–4.7tn a year), then returns over 10–15 years as contracted, CPI-escalating rent from a handful of large, creditworthy telcos, so receivables risk is low. Operating cash flow (Rp6.2tn→Rp10.4tn) reliably runs ahead of capex, and that widening gap IS the growing free cash flow that funds both the dividend and the debt paydown.
Unit economicsThink per tower. Tenant #1 is about breakeven (it just covers the tower site fixed cost); every tenant after that adds ~85–90%-margin revenue at almost no extra cost. A tower at ~1.5× tenancy is comfortably profitable; pushing toward the 2.0–2.5× that 5G densification could enable is the main upside lever, because it raises revenue on a cost base that is already paid for.
Tower construction is commoditized; steel and site costs are manageable. Land lease agreements for tower sites are typically long-term; landowner bargaining power is low once a site is leased.
Implication → Low input cost pressure; the primary capex is the tower itself (a one-time capital investment generating multi-decade revenue).
The 4 major Indonesian telcos (Telkomsel, XL, Indosat, Smartfren) are TOWR's customer base: concentrated buyers. Competing tower companies (Mitratel/MTEL, TBIG) give them some switching leverage.
Implication → Long-term contracts (10–15 years) with built-in CPI escalators largely neutralize buyer power during contract periods; but renewal negotiation gives telcos some leverage on rates.
Building a competing ~28,000-tower network requires multi-trillion IDR capex and decades of site acquisition; telcos have largely exited tower ownership (preferring to focus on services). MNO in-sourcing is a theoretical risk but uneconomic.
Implication → Effectively a duopoly between TOWR and Mitratel/MTEL (with TBIG as 3rd); no new nationwide entrant is economically viable.
No substitute for physical cell tower infrastructure for outdoor mobile coverage; small cells supplement but don't replace macro towers; satellite broadband (Starlink) is a partial substitute in remote areas only.
Implication → Structural demand for tower infrastructure is durable: 5G densification will increase tower count requirements, not reduce them.
Three-player tower market: TOWR (~28k towers), Mitratel/MTEL (~35k), TBIG (~22k). Rivalry is for new co-location contracts and telco capital allocation decisions.
Implication → Competition constrains pricing on new contracts and renewals but does not threaten existing locked-in revenue; CPI escalators protect in-contract economics.
Very high, and in an unusual direction: TOWR net income massively understates its cash generation. Because towers carry a large non-cash depreciation charge, operating cash flow runs about 2.8x net income (OCF/NI rose from 1.8x to 2.8x, FY21–25). So the modest reported net margin (~27%) and the low book ROIC (~8%) hide strong, growing cash economics, which is exactly why the right lens here is free cash flow, not accounting ROIC. No one-off items; the earnings are recurring, contracted lease income.
Checked: no material one-offs found in the reviewed window.
Cash conversionOperating cash flow is roughly 2.8x net income (FY25) because tower depreciation is a heavy non-cash charge. The accounting bottom line therefore understates the business: cash generation is far stronger than the P&L suggests, and it funds both the dividend and the debt paydown.
A builder shifting toward deleveraging. TOWR reinvests heavily, capex ran 25–42% of revenue building and acquiring towers, keeps the dividend low (payout ~23%), and has increasingly steered its growing cash flow into paying down debt (D/E 3.91→1.67). The book ROIC (~8%) looks below the cost of capital, but that reflects the enormous tower asset base rather than weak economics; the cash returns are strong.
DeploymentHeavy reinvestment in towers (capex 25–42% of revenue, easing to ~25% by FY25), a low ~23% dividend, and rising debt paydown; the FY25 shift (capex down, debt down) marks a maturing from aggressive build toward cash harvest.
Returns trendBook ROIC held flat at ~8% (thin on the massive asset base), while ROE fell every year (28.5%→13.6%) as retained earnings and equity outgrew net income. The real return signal is the growing free cash flow, not the accounting ratios.
Book ROIC (~8%) sits at or below a typical infrastructure cost of capital, so on accounting numbers TOWR looks value-neutral; the investment case rests on free-cash-flow yield, not reported ROIC. Know which lens you are using.
Even after cutting D/E from 3.91 to 1.67, leverage is still meaningful and interest coverage is modest (~2.4–2.7x); a debt-funded tower model is rate-sensitive.
Revenue depends on a handful of telco tenants (Telkomsel, XL, Indosat, Smartfren); telco consolidation would shrink the pool of colocation customers.
High: contracted, CPI-escalating lease income, and operating cash flow runs ~2.8x net income (depreciation is non-cash). No one-offs.
Curated narrative (educational interpretation), backed by the linked sources. The figures above are deterministic. Not investment advice.
Indonesian infrastructure is a dual-asset class: toll roads (concession monopolies, GDP-linked traffic, inflation-indexed tariffs) and telecom towers (towercos with 80 %+ EBITDA margins riding 5G densification). Both are long-duration, capital-intensive regulated assets with high revenue visibility.